Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 73756.571580 77962.013810 82173.157461 86703.359721 91435.924535 96230.917819 101453.351437
2025-12-07 67009.847185 73430.943135 80046.618260 87362.716867 95217.155677 103386.712667 112516.884000
2025-12-14 61753.440480 69645.513069 77962.584635 87361.524346 97668.076350 108606.175078 121072.296510
2025-12-21 57890.091983 66887.177690 76549.808136 87667.245736 100072.460357 113455.795685 128952.487664
2025-12-28 55503.296760 65481.939632 76374.286059 89100.014583 103510.742809 119273.815247 137769.312231
2026-01-04 53247.648651 64022.243751 75957.512986 90094.922266 106316.382934 124278.793023 145602.584970
2026-01-11 51083.601953 62509.281218 75338.864904 90729.001777 108601.536779 128613.752544 152623.297974
2026-01-18 48867.124239 60801.330774 74374.980951 90852.284721 110203.612304 132097.080437 158621.786858
2026-01-25 46923.638642 59307.691125 73563.970499 91063.345284 111831.148602 135553.564360 164554.609751
2026-02-01 44982.527126 57721.417152 72557.151204 90962.306211 113023.563712 138453.405897 169807.627906
2026-02-08 43611.141806 56755.636151 72229.313862 91615.244820 115065.812035 142322.966298 176192.376801
2026-02-15 41928.863470 55336.410723 71289.111319 91469.873246 116102.728075 144968.456246 181109.834011
2026-02-22 41035.912963 54873.766718 71503.503328 92731.381935 118859.499186 149708.800925 188604.383030
2026-03-01 39977.216110 54161.012953 71376.044350 93547.854502 121062.941486 153790.655670 195337.372048
2026-03-08 38606.196459 52999.432431 70644.028715 93573.636996 122264.183584 156642.438580 200581.936066
2026-03-15 37463.698343 52086.156466 70183.629821 93903.146923 123814.403916 159905.760171 206330.930079
2026-03-22 36936.543715 51943.693114 70677.663452 95420.064187 126839.638923 164987.066421 214337.067213
2026-03-29 36235.694180 51544.652027 70820.219472 96472.618931 129274.017932 169344.521956 221474.260752
2026-04-05 35408.028884 50947.232241 70681.132036 97143.248280 131212.992416 173086.380404 227864.047197
2026-04-12 34393.660520 50066.601296 70144.023547 97273.634376 132444.905885 175936.405894 233147.180317
2026-04-19 33468.886369 49276.010959 69697.199499 97496.827248 133778.116501 178906.498593 238587.738577
2026-04-26 32454.591130 48331.810582 69018.614179 97389.983423 134665.190415 181301.905868 243305.393508
2026-05-03 31804.689349 47865.917685 68956.828123 98080.418203 136578.041395 185001.961294 249692.647865